On 2026-07-03, NOAA SPC 2026-07-03 reports logged hail up to 1.50″ reported across Lawrence, SD. The morning after, Roofbird's AI read current satellite imagery of the impact zone: 3,766 buildings scanned, 518 residential, 104 roofs scored, and the 10 below flagged for the clearest replacement-grade wear.
9 of the 10 flagged roofs read as architectural asphalt shingles, 1 as asphalt shingles, likely 3-tab or architectural, and 1 was rated "visibly aged". Average roof score across the set is 5.3/10, and 2 clear a high-likelihood bar (score ≥ 8 or buy-probability ≥ 75): the doors to knock first.
Estimated replacement jobs in this batch run from $5.5K to $57.8K, averaging roughly 39 squares of roof. Flagged addresses cluster around Spearfish. Every address, score and damage note here is open, no signup, so you can check any roof on Street View.
The damage signals the vision model surfaced most often across Spearfish County, SD: distinct orange/tan rectangular patch visible near center of roof — consistent with a prior repair or replaced section of shingles (1), multiple roof planes show varying shades of gray and brown, suggesting uneven aging across different sections (1), significant tree canopy overhanging multiple roof sections, indicating elevated debris and moisture retention risk (1), upper roof section appears notably darker than lower sections, possible differential weathering or shadow artifact (1), and light-colored rectangular element visible on left slope — possible skylight or vent (1). That is the curb read a seasoned estimator makes to spot a roof near end-of-life, run across every home in the storm footprint at once.