On 2026-07-03, NOAA SPC 2026-07-03 reports logged hail up to 1.50″ reported across Lawrence, SD. The morning after, Roofbird ran its AI-vision pipeline over current satellite imagery of the impact zone — scanning 3,766 buildings, isolating 518 residential structures, scoring 104 roofs, and flagging the 10 below as showing the clearest replacement-grade wear.
9 of the 10 flagged roofs read as architectural asphalt shingles, 1 as asphalt shingles, likely 3-tab or architectural, and 1 was rated "visibly aged". Average roof score across the set is 5.3/10, and 2 clear a high-likelihood bar (score ≥ 8 or buy-probability ≥ 75) — the doors worth knocking first.
Estimated replacement jobs in this batch run from $5.5K to $57.8K, averaging roughly 39 squares of roof. Flagged addresses cluster around Spearfish. Every address, score, and damage note on this page is open — no signup — so you can verify any roof against your own eyes on Street View.
The damage signals the vision model surfaced most often across Spearfish County, SD: distinct orange/tan rectangular patch visible near center of roof — consistent with a prior repair or replaced section of shingles (1), multiple roof planes show varying shades of gray and brown, suggesting uneven aging across different sections (1), significant tree canopy overhanging multiple roof sections, indicating elevated debris and moisture retention risk (1), upper roof section appears notably darker than lower sections, possible differential weathering or shadow artifact (1), and light-colored rectangular element visible on left slope — possible skylight or vent (1). These are the visible cues that separate a roof nearing end-of-life from one with years left — the same read a seasoned estimator makes from the curb, run across every home in the storm footprint at once.